Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5545 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

OH 5545 · PHL → OMA

departs 7:37 PM ET · arrives 9:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OMA that day

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5545 · PHL → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?