Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3039
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 3039 · SNA → SFO
departs 11:50 AM PT · arrives 1:29 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 35%
Sat 10/17 31%
Sun 10/18 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.