Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4674
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 4674 · DEN → RAP
departs 10:05 AM MT · arrives 11:30 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Tue 10/13 20%
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at RAP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RAP?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Gusts to 39 kt forecast at RAP that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
RAP usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into RAP at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.27 in
RAP (destination)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.