Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4692
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 4692 · DEN → RDD
departs 11:35 AM MT · arrives 1:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13 22%
Wed 10/14 24%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 22%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at RDD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDD?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
11am departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDD
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.30 in
RDD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.