Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5033
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5033 · DEN → LBL
departs 8:10 AM MT · arrives 10:27 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LBL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at LBL that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into LBL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.23 in
LBL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.