Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 510
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 510 · DEN → OMA
departs 8:06 AM MT · arrives 10:47 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 10%
Sun 10/18 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±5 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OMA that day
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.23 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.