Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5115
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5115 · DDC → DEN
departs 11:13 AM CT · arrives 11:54 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/14 20%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 13%
Sun 10/18 15%
Mon 10/19 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave DDC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DDC that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
DDC is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DDC (origin)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.34 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.