Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5333
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5333 · DEN → MAF
departs 10:05 AM MT · arrives 12:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Tue 10/13 20%
Wed 10/14 34%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.23 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.91 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.