Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5400
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5400 · COS → DEN
departs 10:23 AM MT · arrives 11:38 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 9%
Sun 10/18 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at COS that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
10am departures from COS are usually not late
Weather at each end
COS (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.12 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.