Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5455
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5455 · PIA → DEN
departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 10:24 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 22%
Wed 10/14 35%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave PIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at PIA that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
PIA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
PIA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.82 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.