Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5462 · FAR → DEN
departs 11:35 AM CT · arrives 12:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/14 31%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 21%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 34 kt forecast at FAR that day
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FAR (origin)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.