Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5481
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5481 · DEN → SGF
departs 9:54 AM MT · arrives 12:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 17%
Wed 10/14 39%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±9 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SGF that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Arrivals into SGF at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.23 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.