Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5497
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5497 · DEN → ICT
departs 9:55 AM MT · arrives 12:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14 26%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 12%
Sun 10/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.30 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.