Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5634
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5634 · COS → DEN
departs 9:20 AM MT · arrives 10:33 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Tue 10/13 21%
Wed 10/14 28%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±4 pts
+26 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at COS that day
↓
9am departures from COS are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
COS (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.12 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.