Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5757
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5757 · SBP → SFO
departs 6:03 AM PT · arrives 7:16 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Tue 10/13 8%
Wed 10/14 8%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 12%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
SBP is prone to delays
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SBP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.