Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5791
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5791 · LBB → DEN
departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 8:47 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14 41%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 16%
Sun 10/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±10 pts
+26 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DEN that day
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from LBB are usually not late
Weather at each end
LBB (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.72 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.