Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5826
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5826 · DEN → LNK
departs 7:45 AM MT · arrives 10:17 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 20%
Sun 10/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at LNK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LNK?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at LNK that day
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from DEN are usually not late
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.23 in
LNK (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.