Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5882
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5882 · ORD → DTW
departs 1:13 PM CT · arrives 3:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 22%
Sat 10/17 25%
Sun 10/18 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
1pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.