Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5954
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5954 · DEN → DRO
departs 9:35 AM MT · arrives 10:51 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14 28%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 18%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DRO more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±9 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DRO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DRO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DRO?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into DRO at that hour are often late
↓
DRO usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DRO
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.20 in
DRO (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.