Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5975
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5975 · DEN → FSD
departs 8:17 AM MT · arrives 11:14 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 14%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at FSD that day
↑
Arrivals into FSD at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.27 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.