Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6078
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 6078 · CNY → DEN
departs 10:20 AM MT · arrives 11:54 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/14 23%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 12%
Sun 10/18 17%
Mon 10/19 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave CNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Other factors
↓
10am departures from CNY are usually not late
Weather at each end
CNY (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.