Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6331
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 6331 · BTV → ORD
departs 7:03 AM ET · arrives 8:36 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14 24%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave BTV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BTV that day
Weather at each end
BTV (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.