Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5844
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
PT 5844 · ALB → PHL
departs 8:09 AM ET · arrives 9:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 17%
Sun 10/18 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.