Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5858
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
PT 5858 · ALB → PHL
departs 2:46 PM ET · arrives 4:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 30%
Sat 10/17 21%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.