Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5908
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
PT 5908 · PHL → ROA
departs 12:16 PM ET · arrives 1:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 25%
Sat 10/17 16%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ROA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from PHL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
ROA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
ROA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.