Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6009
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
PT 6009 · MDT → PHL
departs 10:34 AM ET · arrives 11:34 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↑
10am departures from MDT are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT
Weather at each end
MDT (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.