Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2176
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
QX 2176 · SEA → EUG
departs 8:03 AM PT · arrives 9:20 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 16%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at EUG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EUG?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into EUG at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
EUG (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.