Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1040SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1040 · EWR → AUA
departs 9:06 AM ET · arrives 1:50 PM AST
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at AUA more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to AUA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.