Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1214 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 1214 · DEN → FLL

departs 9:57 AM MT · arrives 4:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.30 in

FLL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1214 · DEN → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?