Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1378 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 1378 · DEN → EGE

departs 11:49 AM MT · arrives 12:57 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at EGE more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EGE?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at EGE that day

↓ EGE usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.31 in

EGE (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1378 · DEN → EGE

Odds over time

How late will it get to EGE?