Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1379 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 1379 · CVG → ORD

departs 5:23 AM ET · arrives 5:51 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at CVG that day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from CVG are usually not late

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0 mi Precip0.12 in

ORD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1379 · CVG → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?