Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1524SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1524 · ORF → IAD
departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 7:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.