tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 17 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 17 · LHR → EWR

departs 10:21 AM BST · arrives 1:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±4 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.2d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.