Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2039 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 2039 · LAX → PIT

departs 9:00 AM PT · arrives 4:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2039 · LAX → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?