Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2045 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 2045 · DEN → HDN

departs 11:53 AM MT · arrives 12:57 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at HDN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HDN?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at HDN that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.31 in

HDN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2045 · DEN → HDN

Odds over time

How late will it get to HDN?