tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2219 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2219 · SJU → EWR

departs 1:00 AM AT · arrives 5:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.0d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.