tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2465 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2465 · BNA → ORD

departs 7:40 AM CT · arrives 9:41 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±5 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.