Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2625 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 2625 · DEN → SAT

departs 9:35 AM MT · arrives 12:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.27 in

SAT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2625 · DEN → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?