Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2693 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 2693 · CHS → EWR

departs 2:56 PM ET · arrives 4:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2693 · CHS → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?