Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 279 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 279 · ORD → FLL

departs 10:59 AM CT · arrives 3:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.48 in

FLL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 279 · ORD → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?