Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2847SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2847 · SFO → ORD
departs 12:25 AM PT · arrives 6:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±1 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.