tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3914 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 3914 · MLB → IAD

departs 2:34 AM ET · arrives 4:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.