Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 597 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 597 · DEN → BOS

departs 2:06 PM MT · arrives 8:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 2pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ BOS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.31 in

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 597 · DEN → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?