Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 806SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 806 · ICN → SFO
departs 11:42 AM KST · arrives 6:22 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±0 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.