tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 820 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 820 · LAX → HKG

departs 12:04 AM PT · arrives 6:01 AM HKT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Arrive at HKG more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HKG?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.