Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1306
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 1306 · OMA → MDW
departs 1:44 PM CT · arrives 3:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 13%
Sun 10/18 24%
Mon 10/19 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OMA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OMA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.48 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.60 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.