Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1394
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 1394 · DAL → MAF
departs 12:16 PM CT · arrives 1:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
12pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MAF (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.