Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1544
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 1544 · DEN → BNA
departs 7:35 AM MT · arrives 11:14 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Tue 10/13 9%
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 11%
Sat 10/17 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from DEN are usually not late
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.23 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.