Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2152
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 2152 · ICT → LAS
departs 1:02 PM CT · arrives 1:43 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 19%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±17 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip 1.48 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.