Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2322
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 2322 · DEN → RIC
departs 1:38 PM MT · arrives 7:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 30%
Sun 10/18 9%
Mon 10/19 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
RIC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.31 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.